Option Focus | Intel's $1.05 Million Bear Call Spread Caps Upside at $110, But a $1.15 Million Bet on $120 Calls Hints at Longer-Term Bullish Ambition

Option Witch
7 hours ago

Intel Corporation closed at $101.05, rising 4.03%.

Displayed options activity featured a $1.05 million bear call spread that caps upside at $110.00 through 2026, alongside a $1.15 million purchase of $120.00 calls expiring November 20, 2026. The combination points to tempered near-term expectations from large traders, while a minority position still pursues a longer-term breakout above $120.00.

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Options Indicators

INTC’s implied volatility stands at 65.95%, while its IV percentile is 37.05%, which places current volatility in a broadly neutral historical range rather than at an extreme. In other words, although the absolute IV level is relatively high, compared with its own recent history options are not especially cheap or especially expensive at the moment. With an IV/HV ratio of 1.18, implied volatility is running moderately above realized volatility, suggesting the options market is pricing in somewhat higher forward uncertainty than what the stock has recently delivered.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 2.12.

Large Trades

A bear call spread with a $1.05 million net credit was the largest displayed trade, signaling a moderately bearish stance and a clear premium-collection strategy. The position was built by selling 5,000 Oct. 2, 2026 $110.00 calls and buying 5,000 Sep. 18, 2026 $110.00 calls, with both legs out of the money versus the $101.05 reference stock price. As a call spread structure, the trader collected premium upfront and appears to be expressing the view that INTC is unlikely to sustain a move above $110.00 across the relevant timeframe, while also defining risk through the long-call leg.

A call purchase worth $1.15 million was the other displayed large trade, representing a straightforward bullish directional bet. The buyer took 2,000 Nov. 20, 2026 $120.00 calls, which are out of the money relative to the $101.05 stock reference. This kind of positioning suggests the trader is looking for a sizable upside move over time, using limited premium outlay to gain leveraged exposure to a potential rally toward or beyond $120.00.

Overall, the bulk-order flow leans bearish on balance. While there was a notable upside speculation through the large $120.00 call buy, the broader pattern of large trades was more heavily concentrated in call selling and bearish spread activity, which points to tempered expectations for upside and a preference for collecting premium or positioning against a strong advance. The conclusion from the large-trade flow is that institutional sentiment is cautiously bearish, with traders appearing to cap upside expectations rather than position for an aggressive breakout.

Strategy Reference

For a low-assignment-probability income trade, a call seller could consider strikes above $110.00 given the institutional bear call spread already capping that level, while a defined-risk bear call spread borrowing from the largest displayed structure may be preferable for traders looking to limit margin exposure rather than sell uncovered calls.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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