Global Treasury Sell-Off Intensifies as China and Japan Cut Holdings, Pushing Foreign Ownership to Year-Low

Deep News
2 hours ago

Fresh data released by the U.S. Treasury Department reveals that foreign holdings of U.S. government debt fell to their lowest level since October of last year, totaling $9.25 trillion in July. This represents a decrease of $50.4 billion from June, primarily driven by reductions in French and Canadian positions. It's important to note that these foreign holding figures incorporate both valuation shifts and net buying or selling activity.

The decline in holdings coincides with a challenging period for U.S. debt, as the Treasury index dropped more than 1% in July. This downturn was fueled by concerns that the Iran conflict could escalate inflation risks, coupled with ongoing worries about the country's fiscal deficit trajectory.

Analyzing the data by country, Japan, the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries, reduced its positions by $12.8 billion in July, bringing its total to $1.1 trillion. This move aligns with actions taken by Japanese authorities to support the yen's exchange rate. According to the latest finance ministry figures, Tokyo likely sold some of its foreign securities to fund its currency intervention efforts.

Addressing the situation during a House hearing, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent explained that a stronger yen could actually reduce the need for Japan to divest its American assets. He suggested that one reason for the coordinated currency intervention on July 31 was to help minimize the necessity for Tokyo to liquidate its holdings of U.S. securities.

Turning to other major holders, China, the third-largest holder of U.S. debt, saw its holdings decrease by $15.4 billion in July, settling at $618 billion. Market analysts also pointed out that Belgium, whose figures include Chinese custodian accounts, experienced a decline in its holdings to $470.7 billion.

In contrast to these reductions, United Kingdom, the second-largest holder, increased its position by $58.4 billion in July, reaching a total of $998.3 billion. The decreases were more pronounced for other nations, with France slashing its holdings by $41.5 billion to $348.4 billion and Canada cutting its positions by $33.3 billion to $426.3 billion.

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